Sandpoint, Idaho — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5 and 48-hour smoke-model outlook — updated Aug 06, 9:44AM PDT

Current air quality

45 µg/m³ measured at Sandpoint, 1 km away, at Aug 06, 9:00AM. The NowCast smoke average is 43 µg/m³ — Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups on the US EPA scale.

Sensitive groups — children, seniors, and people with heart or lung conditions — should reduce prolonged outdoor exertion.

Forecasts show smoke increasing, peaking near 63 µg/m³ within the next 48 hours.

Smoke is likely to persist beyond the next 48 hours.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

68340now-24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

Observed · FireSmoke · FireWork · HRRR

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): Good · Moderate · Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups · Unhealthy

Next 24 hours — model comparison

Next 6 hours
10–32 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 11:00AM
Next 12 hours
10–32 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 11:00AM
Next 24 hours
10–32 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 11:00AM
Next 48 hours
20–44 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 1:00PM
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)63 µg/m³Aug 06, 5:00PM
FireWork (ECCC)32 µg/m³Aug 06, 11:00AM
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)10 µg/m³Aug 06, 1:00PM

Model values are for the ~10 km grid cell nearest Sandpoint; the two models are independent and often disagree — treat the higher value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke is a smoke-dispersion model: it estimates the wildfire contribution only, so it reads lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The map's optional plume layer is likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Smoke is at the surface and overhead.

Sky right now
Heavy haze

At the ground · Overhead (if mixed down)

0125250+11:00AM5:00PM11:00PMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke

Forecast track record here

1-day record · 3 nearby monitors

ModelTypical errorTendency
FireWork9.9 µg/m³reads low 6.0
HRRR-Smoke14.1 µg/m³reads high 3.9
FireSmoke24.7 µg/m³reads low 23.6

Mean absolute error and average tendency in µg/m³, from forecasts verified 0–6 hours ahead at monitors within 50 km. A short-range record, not a measure of how far ahead a model stays reliable. FireSmoke and HRRR model wildfire smoke only, so they read below the monitors whenever other sources of PM2.5 matter.

Nearest monitoring stations

Open the live chart for Sandpoint — hourly observations, NowCast and both model forecasts.