Sioux Falls, South Dakota — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5 and 48-hour smoke-model outlook — updated Aug 06, 11:44AM CDT

Current air quality

6 µg/m³ measured at Sf-Usd, 9 km away, at Aug 06, 10:00AM. The NowCast smoke average is 7 µg/m³ — Good on the US EPA scale.

Air quality is good — ideal for outdoor activities.

Forecasts show smoke increasing, peaking near 14 µg/m³ within the next 48 hours.

No significant smoke is expected in the next 48 hours.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

20100now-24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

Observed · FireSmoke · FireWork · HRRR

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): Good · Moderate

Next 24 hours — model comparison

Next 6 hours
4–6 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 3:00PM
Next 12 hours
4–7 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 9:00PM
Next 24 hours
7–11 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 07, 9:00AM
Next 48 hours
11–14 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 08, 7:00AM
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)7 µg/m³Aug 06, 6:00PM
FireWork (ECCC)11 µg/m³Aug 07, 9:00AM
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)7 µg/m³Aug 06, 9:00PM

Model values are for the ~10 km grid cell nearest Sioux Falls; the two models are independent and often disagree — treat the higher value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke is a smoke-dispersion model: it estimates the wildfire contribution only, so it reads lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The map's optional plume layer is likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Smoke is overhead, not in the air you breathe.

Sky right now
Slight haze

At the ground · Overhead (if mixed down)

0125250+1:00PM7:00PM1:00AMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke

Nearest monitoring stations

Open the live chart for Sf-Usd — hourly observations, NowCast and both model forecasts.