Grand Junction, Colorado — Wildfire Smoke Forecast

Live PM2.5 and 48-hour smoke-model outlook — updated Aug 06, 10:44AM MDT

Current air quality

No recent measurement is available from the nearest station.

Models forecast PM2.5 peaking near 24 µg/m³ within the next 48 hours.

No significant smoke is expected in the next 48 hours.

Last 24 hours observed & next 48 hours forecast

25130now-24 h+24 h+48 hµg/m³

FireSmoke · FireWork · HRRR

Background bands (US EPA AQI, 24-h basis): Good · Moderate

Next 24 hours — model comparison

Next 6 hours
4–19 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 12:00PM
Next 12 hours
4–19 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 12:00PM
Next 24 hours
4–19 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 12:00PM
Next 48 hours
4–19 µg/m³
Peak around Aug 06, 12:00PM
ModelPeak PM2.5Peak around
HRRR-Smoke (NOAA, 3 km)24 µg/m³Aug 06, 10:00PM
FireWork (ECCC)19 µg/m³Aug 06, 12:00PM
FireSmoke (UBC BlueSky)4 µg/m³Aug 06, 2:00PM

Model values are for the ~10 km grid cell nearest Grand Junction; the two models are independent and often disagree — treat the higher value as the cautious planning number.

Observations and NowCast are total PM2.5 — wildfire smoke plus every other source — as regulatory monitors measure it, and FireWork models that same total. FireSmoke is a smoke-dispersion model: it estimates the wildfire contribution only, so it reads lower than the monitors whenever other sources matter. The map's optional plume layer is likewise fires-only.

Sky vs. ground

Smoke is overhead, not in the air you breathe.

Sky right now
Slight haze

At the ground · Overhead (if mixed down)

011923812:00PM6:00PM12:00AMµg/m³

Overhead smoke dims the sun but is not what you breathe. The dashed line shows the surface level if the whole column mixed through the boundary layer — a worst case, not a forecast · Data: NOAA HRRR-Smoke

Nearest monitoring stations

Open the live chart for Grand Junction - Powell Building — hourly observations, NowCast and both model forecasts.